ChatGPT 4.0 Is ComingOpenAI is working on an even more powerful system called GPT-4, which could be released as soon as this quarter, according to Mr. McIlwain and four other people with knowledge of the effort. Microsoft declined to comment on its future product plans.
Built using Microsoft’s huge network for computer data centers, the new chatbot could be a system much like ChatGPT that solely generates text. Or it could juggle images as well as text.
Some venture capitalists and Microsoft employees have already seen the service in action. But OpenAI has not yet determined whether the new system will be released with capabilities involving images.
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Below find a YouTube clip of the WSJ editor interviewing Satya Nadella a few days ago at Davos. Remains to be seen who is really in the driver’s seat for ChatGPT and other OpenAI development…Sam Altman the CEO of OpenAI?.. or Satya Nadella CEO of many headed tech powerhouse Microsoft? Clearly Satya thinks MS is in a great position to ride the further development of ChatGPT through incorporation into ALL MS products, or words to that effect.
Nadella also faced repeated questions about what is going to happen to all the “knowledge workers” when AI tools such as ChatGPT potentially make current jobs obsolete. Apparently that fear has been spreading in the last few weeks since ChatGPT was made available broadly. He offers that the overall economy will grow, and thus create new jobs. He offers retraining of those losing their jobs.
Both have been the commonly offered solutions for new tech disruptions. Those have worked sometimes, in some places, for some workers. Others have lost middle class status and compensation, and fallen into the low wage service industries that came along when US manufacturing jobs were lost in the global economy.
But there is also a big implication present in the interview that large amounts of ROI will accrue to those owning the means of production in this new case of AI tools like ChatGPT. Nadella says we have to amass the capital FIRST, before we decide how to possibly distribute it to those who are disrupted and unemployed.
We should note that comment well…as it’s questionable if most jobs lost have been replaced by similar or better jobs during previous tech advance disruptions. It’s also clear that once founders amass ginormous amounts of capital, they rarely then go out and provide supplementary income for the disrupted and displaced populace. Should that happen yet again but on an even larger scale…what sort of social coherence and stability might we expect to experience?
So we want the goodies that tech tools can provide, and we want nothing to do with Ludite repression of innovation. But we don’t want the economic gains and “ROI” going to primarily just the 1% who already have amassed destabilizing amounts of capital. The most obvious reason for broader distributions of ROI, is that there are costs as well when people lose jobs and income and communities empty out because the economic engine of the town has left. There will also be large social costs if this innovation means a permanent unemployed class for even the best educated and capable employees
There are a number of practical doable ways to ensure that the costs of disruption are addressed by those making the huge gains. That’s not a topic in PSA’s mission statement, and we won’t be proffering solutions here…but we can note that somehow, someway, solutions will need to be arrived at for AI disruptions of this magnitude.
IF we thought recent years have been a bit too full of disruption and “wildness”, we might take some time to ponder what this year may bring along those lines.